Policy |
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Pension Projection Models |
Government Accountability Office
(GAO)
GAO has been using the PSG models to produce quantitative
analysis for a large number of pension and social security
reports since 2001.
Four examples of GAO pension analysis are: the October 2005 study of cash-balance conversions Private Pensions: Information on Cash Balance Pension Plans (GAO-06-42), the November 2007 study of lifetime savings in defined-contribution plans Private Pensions: Low Defined Contribution Plan Savings May Pose Challenges to Retirement Security, Especially for Many Low-Income Workers (GAO-08-8), the July 2009 study of issues related to retirement income risks Private Pensions: Alternative Approaches Could Address Retirement Risks Faced by Workers but Pose Trade-offs (GAO-09-642), and the March 2011 study of savers credit reforms in Private Pensions: Some Key Features Lead to an Uneven Distribution of Benefits (GAO-11-333).
Two examples of GAO social security policy analysis are: the September 2006 study Social Security Reform: Implications of Different Indexing Choices (GAO-06-804), and the October 2007 study Social Security Reform: Issues for Disability and Dependent Benefits (GAO-08-26).
DOL Employee Benefits Security Administration
(EBSA)
EBSA has sponsored most of the development of PENSIM since 1997.
Recently EBSA has begun to use PENSIM in its regulatory impact
analysis work.
One example of EBSA regulatory impact analysis is the work involved with the issuance of the default investment regulation that is closely related to automatic enrollment in defined-contribution pension plans. The final regulation is described in Default Investment Alternatives Under Participant Directed Individual Account Plans (Federal Register, October 24, 2007). The regulatory impact analysis itself is described in methods and results.
SSA Office of Retirement and Disability Policy
(ORDP)
ORDP began using the PSG models for social security policy
analysis in 2001, and began sponsoring substantial development of
SSASIM and GEMINI in 2003.
Almost all ORDP work with the PSG models is for distribution inside the U.S. government, rather than for public distribution. For example, it appears as if the PSG models were used extensively by ORDP during 2005 to supply White House staff with estimates of how different social security reforms would affect different kinds of beneficiaries, especially disabled workers.
More recently, ORDP undertook a project using the PSG models that involved the specification and execution of thousands of reforms with the goal of summarizing the results using response surface methodologies in a way that could be used for public education on options for social security reform.
Employee Benefit Research Institute
(EBRI)
EBRI supported the early development of SSASIM during the late
1990s and has used the PSG models since 2000.
An example of the social security reform analysis conducted by EBRI is Estimating the Value of Changes in OASI Benefits Under Social Security Reforms (EBRI Notes, June 2006).